We are on the cusp of one of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruptions of transportation in history. By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of autonomous vehicles (AVs), 95% of U.S. passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand autonomous electric vehicles owned by fleets, not individuals, in a new business model we call “transport-as-a-service” (TaaS). The TaaS disruption will have enormous implications across the transportation and oil industries, decimating entire portions of their value chains, causing oil demand and prices to plummet, and destroying trillions of dollars in investor value — but also creating trillions of dollars in new business opportunities, consumer surplus and GDP growth.
The disruption will be driven by economics. Using TaaS, the average American family will save more than $5,600 per year in transportation costs, equivalent to a wage raise of 10%. This will keep an additional $1 trillion per year in Americans’ pockets by 2030, potentially generating the largest infusion of consumer spending in history.
We have reached this conclusion through exhaustive analysis of data, market, consumer and regulatory dynamics, using well-established cost curves and assuming only existing technology. This report presents overwhelming evidence that mainstream analysis is missing, yet again, the speed, scope and impact of technology disruption. Unlike those analyses, which produce linear and incremental forecasts, our modeling incorporates systems dynamics, including feedback loops, network effects and market forces, that better reflect the reality of fast-paced technology-adoption S-curves. These system dynamics, unleashed as adoption of TaaS begins, will create a virtuous cycle of decreasing costs and increasing quality of service and convenience, which will in turn drive further adoption along an exponential S-curve. Conversely, individual vehicle ownership, especially of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, will enter a vicious cycle of increasing costs, decreasing convenience and diminishing quality of service. (You can read the report HERE.)
Sharing the wisdom to people everywhere on such an ambitious scale requires an enormous transformation of our energy systems and transportation, transforming from dirty oil, petroleum and coal towards wind, solar, and electric.
Additionally, there are new movements that have the power and potential to literally transform our energy and transportation systems for the ultimate good of all. Electric vehicles, solar, wind, renewables, transportation as a service and the organizations amplifying the stories of solutions.
How can we the people come together and bring forth such a change?
We already possess the wisdom, the talent, the desire and dedication to bring forth ultimate health and well-being.
People, let’s get ready and join Mobilized in the conversations on the future of sustainable energy and transportion for all.
To make this information available to people everywhere, there are no barriers to entry and this is a virtual media experience.
Live event:
FSTV Archives:
Vladimir Slivyak, Ecodefence:Vladimir Slivyak is the Co-Chair of Ecodefense, an initiative started in Russia as a grass roots organization to put an end to Russian-based nuclear energy and waste. As an advocate for a healthy planetary co-existence, and due to the on-going Authoratarian state of Russia. Vladimir continues his work in other regions of the world for his own, and our safety. Slivyak is a Right Livelihood 2021 laureate.
Future Forward: Electric Vehicles (EV’s) and the Grid: Joel Levin is the executive Director of Plug In America, which is a leading environmental advocacy organization promoting clean energy and electric vehicles. On today’s show, we discuss the future of electric vehicles and what policies need to be implemented to scale up the production and use of EV’s.
Harnessing clean energy in Space: Space Solar Power: John Mankins is a visionary astrophysicist, who is a pioneer in space-based solar power. We discuss how this new technology could be a potential game changer in the fight against climate change, and as an important resource for sustainable living.
Dr. Marilyn Brown: What Would it Take to Switch Our Energy System to Renewables? Dr. Marilyn Brown from the School of Public Policy at the Georgia Institute of Technology, a world renown expert on energy policy with an emphasis on the electric grid, discusses what policies are needed to switch our energy system to renewables.
“To enter the Age of Freedom we must do three things right:
Rethink, Enable and Bridge.” Episode 8 of the Rethinking Humanity series by @RethinkX offers a powerful guide to make a different choice to what has gone before: to embrace the unknown and set out on humanity’s greatest and most perilous journey. Knowing that our old system will not survive the next decade, we must create a new one, fast. To step up into the Age of Freedom there are three things we must do: 1) Rethink: break free of our rigid beliefs and explore. 2) Enable: accelerate new production and organizing systems, decentralizing, prototyping and iterating as we go. 3) Bridge: build a walkway to our future by putting humanity first. This is the eight and final installment of an eight-part series. The Rethinking Humanity video series is based on the book, Rethinking Humanity: Five Foundational Sector Disruptions, the Lifecycle of Civilizations, and the Coming Age of Freedom by James Arbib and Tony Seba, published by RethinkX. Visit https://www.rethinkx.com/humanity to read the book.
From the forward-thinking think tank, RethinkX, this is an amazing time for the social entrepreneur.
Humanity is on the brink of existential transformation, but we’re blind to the deeper processes of change. To recognize the mind-blowing possibility space of the next decade, as well as its catastrophic risks, we must grasp the patterns of history to understand how they can illuminate today.
Rethinking Humanity takes viewers on a whirlwind tour of the rise and fall of civilizations through a powerful lens that makes sense of the past, so that we can step into the present and create our future. During the 2020s, key technologies will converge to completely disrupt the five foundational sectors that underpin civilization, and with them every major industry in the world today. In information, energy, food, transportation, and materials, costs will fall by 10x or more, while production processes an order of magnitude more efficient will use 90% fewer natural resources with 10x-100x less waste.
The knock-on effects for society will be as profound as the extraordinary possibilities that emerge. For the first time in history, we could overcome poverty easily. Access to all our basic needs could become a fundamental human right. But this is just one future outcome. The alternative could see our civilization collapse into a new dark age. Which path we take depends on the choices we make, starting today. The stakes could not be higher. Rethinking Humanity is based on the book authored by James Arbib and Tony Seba (co-founders of RethinkX), available for free download from http://www.rethinkx.com
We are on the cusp of the deepest, fastest, most consequential disruption in food and agricultural production since the first domestication of plants and animals ten thousand years ago. This is primarily a protein disruption driven by economics. The cost of proteins will be five times cheaper by 2030 and 10 times cheaper by 2035 than existing animal proteins, before ultimately approaching the cost of sugar. They will also be superior in every key attribute – more nutritious, healthier, better tasting, and more convenient, with almost unimaginable variety. This means that, by 2030, modern food products will be higher quality and cost less than half as much to produce as the animal-derived products they replace.
The impact of this disruption on industrial animal farming will be profound. By 2030, the number of cows in the U.S. will have fallen by 50% and the cattle farming industry will be all but bankrupt. All other livestock industries will suffer a similar fate, while the knock-on effects for crop farmers and businesses throughout the value chain will be severe. (You can read the report here.)
Sharing the wisdom to people everywhere on such an ambitious scale requires an enormous transformation on how we plant our seeds, grow and distribute our food and beverages and respect the soils, lands and waters where we grow our foods–as well as the people who are growing the food.
Additionally, there are new movements that have the power and potential to literally transform our food systems for the ultimate good of all. Plant-based proteins, Milk without the Moo, fermentation and locally-sourced foods.
How can we the people come together and bring forth such a change?
We already possess the wisdom, the talent, the desire and dedication to bring forth ultimate health and well-being.
People, let’s get ready and join Mobilized in the conversations on the future of sustainable food systems for all.
To make this information available to people everywhere, there are no barriers to entry and this is a virtual media experience.
Live event:
From the FSTV Broadcasts
From idea into action: Tony Rinaudo is a Right Livelihood Laureate and a agronomist known as the “Forest Maker” for his promotion of soil regeneration. On today’s show, Tony discusses how environmental destruction can be reversed through soil regeneration as well as the importance of public awareness of environmental issues and how he has effectively grown support for restoring nature through sustainable land management.
Dr. Joe Bozeman:Dr. Joe Bozeman: Environmental Destruction of Low Income and Minority Populations Around the world.
People everywhere taking action: Dr. Robert Moir, Ocean River Institute: While people everywhere are waiting on national leadership to make policies that don’t harm our planet, real change also happens at the local level. We feature Dr. Rob Moir of the Ocean River Institute on actions that people everywhere can take and the understanding of the the biology of our planetary systems and how we can make better use of our lawns without pesticides; how can photosynthesis draw down CO2 from the Atmosphere.
Nnimmo Bassey is an architect, environmental activist, author and poet, who chaired the Friends of the Earth International and was executive director of Environmental Rights Action for Two Decades. Nnimmo was also one of Time Magazine’s Heroes of the Environment in 2009. Nnimmo became a Right Livelihood Laureate for his work in promoting sustainability. On today’s show, Nnimmo discusses sustainable development and climate justice and the role of grassroots organizations in the developing world.
Understanding the Transition:Professor Chris Rhodes is a scientist and writer who is part of Scientists Warning for Humanity. In this very easy to understand conversation, Professor Rhodes tells us where we are in the real transition to clean and renewable energy.
Clean Dave: Educating the Youth: For many years, you could see punk comedian and lyricist at various New York City punk clubs or some of the really authentic stores selling punk lifestyle and clothing…. But how did this punk rock wordsmith go from punk to planet? How did he evolve from smoke filled clubs to educating young school children about valuing the Earth and understanding environmental science? It is time to Slam Dunk the Junk with Dave Street.
Dr. Robert Bullard, the Father of Environmental Justice in the US: Dr. Robert Bullard is widely considered to be the father of the environmental justice movement in the US. Dr. Bullard is a professor of urban planning and environmental policy at Texas Southern University and has worked as an advisor to Congress as well as the Clinton/Gore administration at addressing the disproportionate impacts of environmental destruction on communities of color. On today’s show, Dr. Bullard discusses the state of environmental justice and how the movement has progressed since he became involved in 1978.
The Industrial Aged- Economic systems which underpin all other systems has been based on the fantasy of constant growth on a planet that does not grow. In a few hundred years, humankind has destroyed what it has taken Mother Nature billions of year to create.
From a feature written by Audrey Choi abnd published by Fast Company Magazine
The urgency and scale of our biggest problems requires cooperation, not proprietary thinking, writes Morgan Stanley’s chief sustainability officer.
This past year has revealed with brutal clarity the intersection between a global health crisis, climate crisis, and systemic social injustice. It has also made clearer than ever the moral imperative not only to deploy all the tools in our arsenal, but also to seek out new solutions. We need discontinuous, ambitious, change and we need innovations that can help drive solutions at a systemic level. Dame Ellen MacArthur recently told us that her vision for a circular economy “is a much bigger idea than recycling,” she said. “This is about systemic change and restructuring the global economy, (Read the feature HERE.)
Sharing the wisdom to people everywhere on such an ambitious scale requires an enormous transformation on economic systems from multinational to local; local foods, community media, community farms and fisheries—even community economics–all of which keep the money in the communities themselves.
How can we the people come together and bring forth such a change?
We already possess the wisdom, the talent, the desire and dedication to bring forth ultimate health and well-being.
People, let’s get ready and join Mobilized in the conversations on the future of ecologic economics of real service.
To make this information available to people everywhere, there are no barriers to entry and this is a virtual media experience.
Live Stream:
FSTV Archives
Heal the World: Dr. William Schaffner, a professor of infectious disease at Vanderbilt University Medical School, discusses the global effort to vaccinate the world as well as the future of masks and social distancing as Covid numbers decline. across the country.
Learning from the failure of the War on Drugs Dr. David Best is a world-renown expert on substance abuse recovery. On today’s show, we discuss the failed war on drugs and its contributions to racial inequality in the U.S. and around the world. We also discuss the recent settlement with Pfizer and the Sackler family and victims of the opiid crisis and the role of corporate greed in the pharmaceutical industry.
How can we erradicate heart disease? Heart disease is putting a stress and strain on more than just the people suffering from it, but it’s a major cost in our health system. How can a better understanding of whole system health bring about more health and well-being? We spend some quality time with the celebrated preventative cardiologist and author of The Complete Mediterranean Diet, Dr. Michael Ozner.
Dr. Maria Bottazi: Democratizing Vaccines to Heal the World:Dr. Maria Bottazzi, Baylor School of Medicine, Tropical Diseases, is one half of the dynamic duo known as Bottazzi and Hotez who have unveiled a revolutionary Patent-Free vaccine for Covid 19.
Learning from the Successes and failures of responses to Covid-19: Dr. Vitaly Vanchurin is a physicist with the NIH who researches the effectiveness of Covid-19 policies in the U.S. and globally. He discusses the successes and failures of the pandemic response and whether we are prepared for future variants.