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How can we Prevent Future Crises: The Butterfly Effect at the Time of Global Pandemics

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“The whole world is in conflict, confusion and chaos, but there’s great news! We can fix it because we don’t have the thousands of problems most of us think we do, we have thousands of symptoms of ONE problem.”

Nature’s knowledge is, without question, intuitive but, if we were to successfully do what we used to do, we’d have to go back millions of years to a time when we had not learnt to control fire and had no technology but sticks and stones, because in nature, there is no other technology.”

By Sarah Savory, Savory Global

The last few weeks have clearly shown every one of us just how intricately connected we all are. And how incredibly vulnerable we all are.

We have seen how one small action, or decision, made on one side of the world can soon affect people on the other side of the world.

It has shown us how our corporate, materialistic, technological, money-driven lifestyles will do absolutely nothing in the face of things if we don’t take care of our natural world and the life-giving soil that all life on earth depends on for survival. Including us.

It has shown us how important local businesses and farmers are.

And, above all, it has shown every last one of us that nature doesn’t give a damn how much money anyone has, what our race, religion, political view, culture, status, or general opinion is: if we don’t look after our natural world, nature can, and will, ultimately have the final say, and when it comes to looking after our environment and addressing biological issues, no amount of technology is ever going to save us. Or stop her.

“All life depends on the plant’s ability, through photosynthesis, to convert sunlight energy into edible forms, so does every economy, every nation and every civilization.” ~Allan Savory, Holistic Management, A Commonsense Revolution to Restore Our Environment

Did you know that almost every problem we have is a symptom of a universal, instinctive decision-making process that every single one of us is born with? Our brains literally don’t have any idea how to deal with the social, economic and environmental complexity we were creating for ourselves as our

technology advanced. Before we learnt to control fire, our technology was simple sticks and stones. Simple tools meant we could do no harm to our environment and this meant that our decision-making could be based on our simple needs and desires without causing problems or having any long-term knock-on consequences. But as our technology advanced, our social behavior began to change, throwing us out of balance with our ecosystems, which resulted in us having the ability to do increasing harm to our environment with almost every decision we made. But our decision-making process has never evolved to accommodate for that change.



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Some people get confused at this point and think that it is being suggested we go back to the stone age: it is quite the opposite – we still make our decisions the exact same way we did in the stone age and now it is vital to update our thought process in order to get our natural world into balance with our technological advances – because while most of us could survive without technology, not a single one of us can survive if we destroy our environment.

What we are seeing globally right now is known as institutional stupidity. We are seeing endless unintended consequences of our outdated, and now reductionist decision making process: causing fear, death and chaos across the world. This latest symptom started with the Chinese Government trying to keep the coronavirus under wraps. But that is just the very tip of the iceberg.

 


As soon as we understand complexity and what it does in man-made organisations (which are complex) there is little mystery in the stupidities and the ever-increasing symptoms of it surrounding us.

There is a new decision-making process that has been developed which enables us to successfully accommodate for the new complexity we’ve created for ourselves, and though it is simple to put into practice, the change doesn’t come naturally to any of us – it takes a bit of effort to learn how to do it. But before we get onto that, we must understand why this paradigm-shifting change is so vital to our future:

The first key to understanding this is for us to be able to differentiate between things that are complicated and things that are complex: everything we make (technology) is complicated, but not complex. This means that the things we make cannot self-organise and generally won’t work if a part is missing, fuel runs out or a battery goes flat, Things we make don’t do anything unexpected – they do exactly what we design them to do. Problems with complicated things are relatively easy to solve given enough time and money. But everything we manage is self-organising, or complex. For example: if a person leaves an organisation, or if a species dies out in an ecosystem, the whole can adjust and continue, even though it will be in slightly changed form. Unexpected things are happening all the time in complex systems. Which makes problems in them almost impossible to solve. This is why scientists refer to them as “wicked” problems.

Take the world today: if you look at the last 100 years, you will see that when it comes to everything we make, we have had endless successes: our technology has taken off on steroids and we have been so obsessed and impressed with it that nobody seems to be noticing a terrifying fact: at the same rate that our technology is advancing, everything we manage is collapsing. This is no coincidence.

It is because complex systems can only function in wholes, which means that no part can function, or have decisions made for it, in isolation of that whole without eventually affecting something else within that system (or organisation.) But due to our instinctive decision-making ‘software’ we are unable to account for that – we simply haven’t known how to develop policies in a way that takes complexity into consideration, which has resulted in centuries of our governments and organisations causing devastating knock-on consequences on our planet across the world. Every policy decision made like this starts a ripple effect, which may seem small and insignificant at first, because they have achieved the initial objective of the policy, but further down the line there will inevitably be negative impacts on our environment, which will cause knock-on negative impacts on our societies and economies. And the more symptoms we create, the more problems we think we have to try and solve, so we focus on those, and the more we do that, the more we speed up the damage and collapse. It’s a vicious circle but we can stop it.

We are going to be able to stop this from happening as soon as enough of us have understood that no man-made organisation, or government, thinks or acts like an individual – as soon as we form any organisation, which is a complex system, it automatically takes on a life of its own and because the instinctive way we make decisions never takes complexity into account, every decision, or policy, that comes out of any organisation will lack humanity, empathy and/or common sense. For example, does it make any sense for America to produce oil to produce corn to produce fuel for vehicles? Of course not, yet thousands of institutional scientists are doing it.

It doesn’t matter what happens as a result of any organisation’s actions or policies: from people getting sick, or dying; industrial agriculture causing mass environmental destruction; mass poisonings; murder; genetically modified food; chemicals sprayed on our crops; to factory farming animals, the organisation can ever be held accountable, no matter what they do, or how much damage they cause. And even though most individuals who work within organisations will have good intentions, there is nothing they can do about the outcome, regardless of how hard they might try to change it.

Because of this, when things inevitably go wrong, organisations end up protecting the organisation itself and as a result will often go against, and cause damage to the very thing they were set up to help with in the first place: a good example of this is the Catholic Church, which circled the wagons and ended up protecting the priests and the organisation, not the children who were being abused.

No natural or man-made system that we manage will ever be able to develop sound or balanced policies for anything in the long run until the decision-making process is updated.

  • Communism – FAILED
  • Fascism – FAILED
  • Capitalism – FAILED

No political or organisational ideology has been, or ever can be, successful in the long term. We need governments to practice a completely new way of thinking and we need them to do it urgently, and it has to be based on science, not on opinions.

The good news is that a new decision-making framework has been developed and has been thoroughly put to the test and proved to be conclusively and consistently successful. It is already being used more and more amongst forward thinking individuals all around the world and is now beginning to be practiced successfully by communities and taught in schools. But incremental change is not fast enough to save us: we urgently need it being practiced at organisational and government level.

The greatest news is that we don’t have thousands of problems to solve. We have thousands of symptoms of ONE problem:

There is only one -ISM in the world that can save us now, which will work for every single person, plant and animal on our planet, and that is HOLISM.

“Holism is the science of recognising that the parts of any whole, or system (from man-made to natural systems) are in intimate interconnection, such that they cannot exist independently of the whole, or cannot be understood without reference to the whole.”

There is far more to it than just understanding what holism is. Many people over the course of history have recognised and understood this, and many have tried to take a “holistic approach,” which failed because, until fairly recently, no-one had understood that we all instinctively revert to a genetically embedded decision-making process at the point where the rubber hits the road and the decision is being made. We do this no matter how holistically we have looked at the situation – it is subconscious. Making decisions holistically is not something that comes naturally to anyone – we have to consciously re-train our brains to be able to do it and it takes a bit of practice before it gets easy: think of it in terms of needing a software update – it takes some time to get used to it. This new ‘software update’ is now available to all of us and it is so exciting.

The new ‘update’ in our management is ground-breaking. When we use it, every single one of us is able to consistently and successfully manage the unavoidable web of complexity in any situation: this framework enables everyone, from household to governments, to test whether their decisions or policies will be consistently and simultaneously socially, culturally, economically and environmentally sound for them at any given time. And, as I said, it has already been thoroughly put to the test and is being used by more and more people all around the world every day.

It is called Holistic Management and was developed in 1984 by Allan Savory, an independent Zimbabwean scientist who dedicated his entire life to finding answers to reversing desertification and land degradation, which is by far the biggest threat to all life on earth. The Holistic Management Decision Making Framework makes sure that with every decision we make, or policy we develop, we are always considering the whole under management and putting the health of our life-supporting environment first, which is intricately tied together in that web of complexity to our cultures, societies and our economies.

We cannot just “copy and paste” an idea/action, or policy, just because it has worked for someone else, somewhere else, because nobody is ever dealing with the same complexity twice. A perfect example of this is happening in the world right now: Governments in Africa are taking advice from experts in first world countries and doing whatever they suggest to curb the spread of CV19 without taking into account the completely different social, cultural, economic and environmental complexity we are dealing with here in Africa. The knock-on consequences of that could be devastating.

What works in some countries cannot automatically work in others – each individual/business/country is dealing with entirely unique complexity and needs their own unique solutions. And whether it is the first time anyone has been exposed to dealing with a situation or not doesn’t matter at all when you are dealing with complexity: while the management is reductionist, it won’t matter what decisions are made, because they will inevitably end up causing unwanted consequences later on.

It is inevitable and unavoidable, and it will happen whether it’s the first, or hundredth, time it’s being done, so even hindsight can’t help us when it comes to decision-making, particularly within organisations:

“Governments and Organisations have the same mistake on repeat, over and over and over again – not because their actions, practices, or policy decisions themselves are wrong, but because they aren’t using a management/decision making process that enables them to know when an action, practice or policy is appropriate: and that is what’s causing all the damage.

Holistic Management gives us foresight. It gives us the ability to pre-empt unwanted consequences and when it is put into practice on a big scale, it will bring about the reverse knock-on effect of what we are experiencing around the world right now and we will see our societies, economies and natural world begin to thrive.”

As soon as governments and organisations adjust and adapt to this decision making process, everything will change, because they will be taking any suggested policy ideas they have and, without getting into any conflict about who has the best idea, and instead of zooming in on any problem, they will be looking at it from the point of view of the whole and will test and find out for themselves whether each proposed action will be leading them towards their own Holistic Context, or not. And if they are in doubt about any decision, they use filtering context checks to make sure that it is sound within their own unique complexity at that time. As soon as this framework is put into practice by our governments and organisations, we will begin to see the first ever simultaneously socially/culturally sound, economically viable and ecologically regenerative policies being developed all across the world. And the human spirit will take off.

As we can see, all this is far, far bigger than any one of us, and, we must take this vital cue from nature: let us start to think in terms of the strength of the whole, not the individual: let’s put our individual differences aside and learn to work together, united in collective decision making towards a common Global Holistic Context in order to secure a future for ourselves on this planet. And, let’s collectively insist that our governments and organisations urgently begin to put this exciting new universal decision-making framework into practice so that we can ensure all our actions and policies are sound and in balance with our connected and complex world.

~Sarah Savory, March 2020

An excerpt from a recent interview with Allan Savory who developed this framework:

What is the philosophy behind holistic management?

“Holistic Management is a way of managing complexity. In the 1950s I became concerned as I observed massive environmental destruction in Africa that threatened wildlife and ultimately humans. My determination to find a consistently successful solution led eventually to developing the Holistic Management Framework for management and policy development. At that point (c 1984) when the holistic framework emerged, I realised we had accidentally learned how to manage complexity in any situation: from a single person engaged in a job, to family, community, governance and beyond. At the beginning I had no idea that what I was witnessing in remote areas of Africa was global and that it was just the tip of a large iceberg – mankind’s inability to manage complexity throughout history. As Rebecca Costa concluded, “Early civilisations did not just fail because of their agriculture, but because they could not address the complexity of rising population and deteriorating environment. They shelved the problems for future generations and turned away from gaining knowledge (science) to religion and sacrifice.”

Now we are seeing this on a global scale. More than twenty civilisations have failed in all regions of the world – armies change civilisations, farmers destroy them. And all of this has only one cause: our inability to manage complexity.”

What are your expectations and hopes regarding the practice of holistic management?

“We address major issues through our organisations or institutions, not as individuals. However, human organisations are defined as “complex soft systems” and exhibit wicked problems (almost impossible to fix.) My hope is that we can get enough people insisting that policies (particularly agricultural) be developed holistically in order for our institutions to change in time to save civilisation as we know it. When we heed the research, it shows us that institutions cannot change from reductionist policy development (practiced by all nations today) to holistic policy development, until enough of the public insist on that change. There is not one case I can find of any organisation ever adopting any new paradigm-shifting insight ahead of a change in public perception – no matter what the cost, or how many lives are lost. No amount of data, evidence, danger, cost in money, or lives, changes institutions ahead of the public – institutions will never lead paradigm-shifting change.”

 

 

https://youtu.be/vpTHi7O66pI

Allan Savory’s paper on Good Governance: https://www.savory.global/news/good-governance/

This video below shows how our decision making became reductionist and how simple it is to update it, before nature has her final say:

And the video below explains how all policies end up being reductionist, using agricultural policy as an example:

 

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Editorials

Welcome to the New Powered by You: An Evolution in Media Whose Time is Now

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January 16, 2022

Hello,

Every day, I wake up and ask myself a question: How can we create the future when the world is upside down?

If we look at the “corporate” news, that is, the stories paid for by advertisers and large corporations, one would want to crawl back into bed.  But in reality, there is something brewing under the radar, that is, unless, one focuses on the next generation of systems and services that’s emerging.

Our world is changing. And with these changes, there is an increased demand for relevant knowledge to guide us towards optimal health and well-being for people and the planet.

But the ways of the past are not capable of bringing us to a healthier tomorrow.

While it seems that the world is turned upside down, in reality, we are going through the largest seismic shift in our lives.  

While some people are looking to fix potholes, there are those of us who are building better roads; better paths;   

As the corporate and political worlds try to maintain their stranglehold on public systems, services and policies, there is a whole new world being born, a world where systems are based on natural synergy, equilibrium—balance and integrity.   

As we are experiencing the end of a civilization based on greed and plundering natural resources, people have woken up to the reality that the greatest natural resource is a well-informed public, and the convergence of technologies and system change has opened up a rare one time ina lifetime world where we the people can come together and unite and consciously create the systems, services and policies that serve all life–including the health of our planet, with systems, services and polcies that are dedicated to prosperity without harming our beautiful blue planet.

The age of enlightened conscious creativity.

We have an important choice to make: 

We can continue as we have been going, putting our trust in failed leadership and their systems driving us off a cliff, 

Or we can come together, united in Solidarity for the health of all life.   

What if we can harness collective power and wisdom to create a healthier planetary co-existence?

Mobilized is a nationally broadcast Television series with weekly conversations and a collaborative website dedicated to overcoming our misunderstandings to work and co-exist better together.

Please join us as a collaborator in creation.

Thank you.

Steven Jay

 

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Editorials

As the Golden Globes lose their luster, can we create a better version of Hollywood?

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Something interesting is happening in Hollywood. People are walking away from the Golden Globe Awards.

And for good reason.

Anyone who has ever worked in the filthy abyss of Hollywood, New York, or any major entertainment city will know first hand how these systems work. Sycophants, parasites and moguls and talent agents willing to step all over each other just for the sake of another prize. Some will even kill for a shot at the brass ring.  And industry divided cannot succeed.

The only good thing I found in the Golden Globes was watching Ricky Gervais lampoon the stars and their handlers from the stage. Bravo to Gervais, it doesn’t make a difference what you think of him, afterall, he had something that most of Hollywood doesn’t have. Balls. Guts. And a way of delivering amusing reality dosed insults to their face only to find he’s been re-instated as the show host for the next years showing.

 

The annual Golden Globes ceremony has been unable to find a broadcasting partner or any celebrities willing to present or collect its awards after a Hollywood boycott over its diversity and ethics scandal, resulting in a pared-down event with the emphasis on philanthropy.

According to Variety, the Globes’ talent bookers have failed to persuade any big Hollywood figures to attend the 2022 edition of the awards ceremony, a hitherto glittering annual event that traditionally kicked off the lucrative awards season. In March 2021 more than 100 public relations firms announced they would withdraw cooperation with the Globes, a series of high-profile Hollywood figures, including Tom Cruise and Scarlett Johansson, made stinging public criticisms, and TV network NBC cancelled its broadcast of the 2022 edition. (-The Guardian)

 
eguardian.com/film/2022/jan/09/golden-globes-lose-their-shine-as-a-listers-shun-unethical-ceremony

But this years showing not only lacked the luster of Hollywood today, but doesn’t even have a Network or Livestream to cover it.  I guess we’ll have to rely on celeb Twitter Feeds.

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Arts

How The Pentagon and CIA Have Shaped Thousands of Hollywood Movies into Super Effective Propaganda

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By David Swanson, World BEYOND War, January 5, 2022

Propaganda is most impactful when people don’t think it’s propaganda, and most decisive when it’s censorship you never knew happened.

 

When we imagine that the U.S. military only occasionally and slightly influences U.S. movies, we are extremely badly deceived. The actual impact is on thousands of movies made, and thousands of others never made. And television shows of every variety.

The military guests and celebrations of the U.S. military on game shows and cooking shows are no more spontaneous or civilian in origin than the ceremonies glorifying members of the U.S. military at professional sports games — ceremonies that have been paid for and choreographed by U.S. tax dollars and the U.S. military. The “entertainment” content carefully shaped by the “entertainment” offices of the Pentagon and the CIA doesn’t just insidiously prepare people to react differently to news about war and peace in the world. To a huge extent it substitutes a different reality for people who learn very little actual news about the world at all.

The U.S. military knows that few people watch boring and non-credible news programs, much less read boring and non-credible newspapers, but that great masses will eagerly watch long movies and TV shows without too much worrying about whether anything makes sense. We know that the Pentagon knows this, and what military officials scheme and plot as a result of knowing this, because of the work of relentless researchers making use of the Freedom of Information Act. These researchers have obtained many thousands of pages of memos, notes, and script re-writes. I don’t know whether they’ve put all of these documents online — I certainly hope they do and that they make the link widely available. I wish such a link were in giant font at the end of a fantastic new film. The film is called Theaters of War: How the Pentagon and CIA Took Hollywood. The Director, Editor, and Narrator is Roger Stahl. The Co-Producers are Matthew Alford, Tom Secker, Sebastian Kaempf. They’ve provided an important public service.

In the film we see copies of and hear quotations from and analysis of much of what has been uncovered, and learn that thousands of pages exist that nobody has yet seen because the military has refused to produce them. Film producers sign contracts with the U.S. military or CIA. They agree to “weave in key talking points.” While unknown quantities of this sort of thing remain unknown, we do know that nearly 3,000 films and many thousands of TV episodes have been given the Pentagon treatment, and many others have been handled by the CIA. In many film productions, the military effectively becomes a co-producer with veto power, in exchange for allowing the use of military bases, weapons, experts, and troops. The alternative is the denial of those things.

But the military is not as passive as this might suggest. It actively pitches new story ideas to movie and TV producers. It seeks out new ideas and new collaborators who might bring them to a theater or laptop near you. Act of Valor actually began life as a recruitment advertisement.

Of course, many movies are made without military assistance. Many of the best never wanted it. Many that wanted it and were denied, managed to get made anyway, sometimes at much greater expense without the U.S. tax dollars paying for the props. But a huge number of movies are made with the military. Sometimes the initial movie in a series is made with the military, and the remaining episodes voluntarily follow the military’s line. Practices are normalized. The military sees huge value in this work, including for recruitment purposes.

The alliance between the military and Hollywood is the main reason that we have lots of big blockbuster movies on certain topics and few if any on others. Studios have written scripts and hired top actors for movies on things like Iran-Contra that have never seen the light of day because of a Pentagon rejection. So, nobody watches Iran-Contra movies for fun the way they might watch a Watergate movie for fun. So, very few people have any notions about Iran-Contra.

But with the reality of what the U.S. military does being so awful, what, you might wonder, are the good topics that do get lots of movies made about them? A lot are fantasy or distortion. Black Hawk Down turned reality (and a book it was “based on”) on its head, as did Clear and Present Danger. Some, like Argo, hunt for small stories within large ones. Scripts explicitly tell audiences that it doesn’t matter who started a war for what, that the only thing that matters is the heroism of troops trying to survive or to rescue a soldier.

Yet, actual U.S. military veterans are often shut out and not consulted They often find movies rejected by the Pentagon as “unrealistic” to be very realistic, and those created with Pentagon collaboration to be highly unrealistic. Of course, a huge number of military-influenced films are made about the U.S. military fighting space aliens and magical creatures — not, clearly, because it’s believable but because it avoids reality. On the other hand, other military-influenced films shape people’s views of targeted nations and dehumanize the humans living in certain places.

Don’t Look Up is not mentioned in Theaters of War, and presumably had no military involvement (who knows?, certainly not the movie-watching public), yet it uses a standard military-culture idea (the need to blow up something coming from outerspace, which in reality the U.S. government would simply love to do and you could hardly stop them) as an analogy for the need to stop destroying the planet’s climate (which you cannot easily get the U.S. government to remotely consider) and not one reviewer notices that the film is an equally good or bad analogy for the need to stop building nuclear weapons — because U.S. culture has had that need effectively excised.

The military has written policies on what it approves and disapproves. It disapproves depictions of failures and crimes, which eliminates much of reality. It rejects films about veteran suicide, racism in the military, sexual harassment and assault in the military. But it pretends to refuse to collaborate on films because they’re not “realistic.”

Yet, if you watch enough of what is produced with military involvement you’ll imagine that using and surviving nuclear war is perfectly plausible. This goes back to the original Pentagon-Hollywood invention of myths about Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and runs right up through military influence on The Day After, not to mention the transformation — paid for by people who throw a fit if their tax dollars help prevent someone freezing on the street — of Godzilla from a nuclear warning to the reverse. In the original script for the first Iron Man movie, the hero went up against the evil weapons dealers. The U.S. military rewrote it so that he was a heroic weapons dealer who explicitly argued for more military funding. Sequels stuck with that theme. The U.S. military advertised its weapons of choice in Hulk, Superman, Fast and Furious, and Transformers, the U.S. public effectively paying to push itself to support paying thousands of times more — for weapons it would otherwise have no interest in.

“Documentaries” on the Discovery, History, and National Geographic channels are military-made commercials for weapons. “Inside Combat Rescue” on National Geographic is recruitment propaganda. Captain Marvel exists to sell the Air Force to women. Actress Jennifer Garner has made recruitment ads to accompany movies she’s made that are themselves more effective recruitment ads. A movie called The Recruit was largely written by the head of the CIA’s entertainment office. Shows like NCIS push out the military’s line. But so do shows you wouldn’t expect: “reality” TV shows, game shows, talk shows (with endless reunifications of family members), cooking shows, competition shows, etc.

I’ve written before about how Eye in the Sky was openly and proudly both completely unrealistic nonsense and influenced by the U.S. military to shape people’s ideas about drone murders. A lot of people have some small idea of what goes on. But Theaters of War: How the Pentagon and CIA Took Hollywood helps us to grasp the scale of it. And once we’ve done that, we may gain some possible insights into why polling finds much of the world fearing the U.S. military as a threat to peace, but much of the U.S. public believing that U.S. wars benefit people who are grateful for them. We may begin to form some guesses as to how it is that people in the United States tolerate and even glorify endless mass-killing and destruction, support threatening to use or even using nuclear weapons, and suppose the U.S. to have major enemies out there threatening its “freedoms.” Viewers of Theaters of War may not all immediately react with “Holy shit! The world must think we’re lunatics!” But a few may ask themselves whether it’s possible that wars don’t look like they do in movies — and that would be a great start.

Theaters of War ends with a recommendation, that movies be required to disclose at the start any military or CIA collaboration. The film also notes that the United States has laws against propagandizing the U.S. public, which might make such a disclosure a confession of a crime. I would add that since 1976, the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights has required that “Any propaganda for war shall be prohibited by law.”

To learn more about this film, view it, or host a screening of it, go here.

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Mobilized TV

Mobilized TV on Free Speech TV  takes a deep look at our world, the consequences of human activity on our planet, and how we can reverse and prevent existing and future crises from occurring. Mobilized reveals life on our planet as a system of systems which all work together for the optimal health of the whole. The show delves into deep conversations with change-makers so people can clearly take concerted actions.

Produced by Steven Jay and hosted by Jeff Van Treese.

Mobilized’s TV series Mobilized TV  premieres on Free Speech TV on Friday, October 15, 2021. All episodes appear:

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January 7, 8, 9, 2022

Leading Environmental Justice Attorney, Thomas Linzey of the Center for Democratic and Environmental Rights is a leading force helping communities implement successful rights of nature laws. Find out how your community could take on big business to serve the health of all.

 

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